REVOLUTION TO EVOLUTION
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Revolution in April can bring Spring on a land scape and April revolution in Nepal has proved that. Also, Nepalese people vindicated the fact that , Marxist revolutionary concept isn’t only limited to academic discourse rather it has pratical implications. To start with , the 238 year old monarchy , under King Birendra in 90’s,decided to transform Nepal into a democratic state but mysterious murder of King and his family enabled King Gyanendra to sit on the throne, who behaved more like a dictator in the guise of democracy. As the reaction, Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) started an armed struggle against the Nepalese state to oust the imperialistic power which snowballed into a civil war , continued from 1996-2006 , taking 12,700 lives, 1.5 lakh ousted from their home land.The political parties vacillating between loyality and duty, never succeded to put a greater impact on the Nepalese politics, till the people came out of their home to join the strrets , defying the curfew and braving to face death. Nepalese revolution is definitely 21st century’s most significant event as “we the people” comes from the draft of the constitution to the road.
In 2002, when the peace negotiation failed it was felt that Nepal was going to be another Sudan. To content the maoist struggle U.S., EU, India gave their military and economic support to Nepalese monarchy. U.S. and EU have always their dogmatic inhibition to the term “Communism”. So, without international support Neapal boiled in the heat of insurgency.
Though , India is a major player in Nepal’s cultural , political and economic life, ther is in general an Anti-Indian sentiment against India’s BISTARBAD( EXPANSIONISM). And the reasons are quite logical i.e. India actively supported Nepal’s monarchy to thwart Naxal design of creating a red-corridor from Nepal to Andhra Pradesh. Further, when China and Pakistan took unusual interest in Nepalese issue, even assuring military support ; India succumbed to the pressure of King Gyanedra’s bargains. “Hindu angle “ further messed the dirty water when RSS took interest on this only “Hindu kingdom” of the world. But, as the equation unfolded , India supported the seven party alliance , forcing the the King to hand over power.
Shifting to Maoist angle, Prachanda as the chief has shown exemplary valour and character in continuation of the struggle, making the head-way to democracy. So, it can be inferred from this people’s movement that “May it be Gandhian principle or Marxist philosophy; people’s welfare is of primary concern and some time , a bloody struggle is an escapable option.”
Thursday, August 30, 2007
Will the number work?
WILL THE NUMBER WORK ?
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Emerging dynamics of Indian politics compel to shift our attention towards the ‘Third –front’ , which seem as an alternative to fill the void , if ever created due to Left’s withdrawl from UPA Government. This formula started from 1989 , when V.P.Singh was sworn as the prime minister with the backing of both BJP and Left, from outside. Resting the case on the weight of history, it can be safely presumed that these Govt.s were never stable, always busy squabbling to grab maxium power. However, the recent stalemate created in the light of Indo-U.S. civil nuclear deal and preceding it, the formation of united national progressive alliance (UNPA) during presedential election, have the chances for the repetition of history.
Though , the third front comprises of parties like – AIADMK, SP,AGP,TDP, INLD i.e. all loosing comrades club together for a collective identity , but it can never be predicted when UNPA will be fattened with regional parties to avert the impending election. After all, political equation unfold themselves with time . In this light, third front mayn’t be a distant possibility, for the simple reason i.e. no party in present scenario is ready to face the electorates , not only for the huge expenditure incurred in it, but also due to the absence of clear prediction what their fate is going to be. Secondly, as Indian economy is experiencing a robust growth , the all powerful corporate lobby will definitely intervene to defuse the political crisis to make the economy stable. Also, parties like NCP, LOKJANSHAKTI are searching for the platform where they can give vent to their dissension. Question comes, “Will Left parties after pulling out from UPA extend their crucial support to this front?” The answer is yes, because the verbal war going within the party hints that the party knows the health of the party in W.Bengal with full knowledge of infighting in Kerala; so by no means they are going to fetch the same number of MPs, if voting happens.
Then, How the magic no. ,approaching majority will be a possibility without the outside support of BJP? Will the BJP extend support to such a front? Again, the political situation favours third front . Closely observe BJP’s recent trend, you can come to the conclusion that , it is in shambles in the heartland of Hindi –speaking population. The dismal performance in UP elections have conveyed that BJP is loosing ground on its traditional base i.e. uppercaste hindu, small traders and city dwellers. Gujurat to M.P. , the party now is facing credible leadership crisis. Definitely , it will opt for third front , taking its own time to strengthen its fortess for 2009 election rather than plunging into electoral war. So , the statistics evolve can definitely reach the magic number. And if you are peeping into the ideological differences, never mind ; political parties have always verbal ideological base with “Kursi” in their heart (1989 experiment )..
But wait, Is the Left serious enough to pull-out itself from the UPA coalition ? Perhaps, time can tell. Till then, let’s engross in various possibilities. After all, Politics is all about Possibilities.
With Regards,
Debasis Mohapatra.
--------------------------------------------------------------
Emerging dynamics of Indian politics compel to shift our attention towards the ‘Third –front’ , which seem as an alternative to fill the void , if ever created due to Left’s withdrawl from UPA Government. This formula started from 1989 , when V.P.Singh was sworn as the prime minister with the backing of both BJP and Left, from outside. Resting the case on the weight of history, it can be safely presumed that these Govt.s were never stable, always busy squabbling to grab maxium power. However, the recent stalemate created in the light of Indo-U.S. civil nuclear deal and preceding it, the formation of united national progressive alliance (UNPA) during presedential election, have the chances for the repetition of history.
Though , the third front comprises of parties like – AIADMK, SP,AGP,TDP, INLD i.e. all loosing comrades club together for a collective identity , but it can never be predicted when UNPA will be fattened with regional parties to avert the impending election. After all, political equation unfold themselves with time . In this light, third front mayn’t be a distant possibility, for the simple reason i.e. no party in present scenario is ready to face the electorates , not only for the huge expenditure incurred in it, but also due to the absence of clear prediction what their fate is going to be. Secondly, as Indian economy is experiencing a robust growth , the all powerful corporate lobby will definitely intervene to defuse the political crisis to make the economy stable. Also, parties like NCP, LOKJANSHAKTI are searching for the platform where they can give vent to their dissension. Question comes, “Will Left parties after pulling out from UPA extend their crucial support to this front?” The answer is yes, because the verbal war going within the party hints that the party knows the health of the party in W.Bengal with full knowledge of infighting in Kerala; so by no means they are going to fetch the same number of MPs, if voting happens.
Then, How the magic no. ,approaching majority will be a possibility without the outside support of BJP? Will the BJP extend support to such a front? Again, the political situation favours third front . Closely observe BJP’s recent trend, you can come to the conclusion that , it is in shambles in the heartland of Hindi –speaking population. The dismal performance in UP elections have conveyed that BJP is loosing ground on its traditional base i.e. uppercaste hindu, small traders and city dwellers. Gujurat to M.P. , the party now is facing credible leadership crisis. Definitely , it will opt for third front , taking its own time to strengthen its fortess for 2009 election rather than plunging into electoral war. So , the statistics evolve can definitely reach the magic number. And if you are peeping into the ideological differences, never mind ; political parties have always verbal ideological base with “Kursi” in their heart (1989 experiment )..
But wait, Is the Left serious enough to pull-out itself from the UPA coalition ? Perhaps, time can tell. Till then, let’s engross in various possibilities. After all, Politics is all about Possibilities.
With Regards,
Debasis Mohapatra.
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